Which War Has the Highest Death Count? Understanding the Scale of Human Conflict

Which war has the highest death count? Understanding the Scale of Human Conflict

The question, "Which war has the highest death count?" is a somber one, touching upon the darkest chapters of human history. It’s a question that can easily lead one down a rabbit hole of grim statistics and unimaginable suffering. I remember wrestling with this very question myself while researching a history project years ago. I was in high school, and the sheer numbers associated with some conflicts simply didn't compute. We were taught about World War I and World War II, of course, but the true scale of loss, especially when looking at events that spanned decades or involved entire continents, was difficult to grasp. It wasn't just about battles and soldiers; it was about civilians, famine, disease, and societal collapse. Understanding which war truly stands out in terms of death toll requires a careful examination, moving beyond simple battlefield casualties to encompass the full, devastating impact of prolonged and widespread conflict.

The Defining Answer: The Second Sino-Japanese War and World War II

To directly answer the question, **the Second Sino-Japanese War, which later merged into the wider conflict of World War II, arguably has the highest death count of any war in history.** However, it's crucial to understand that these are often intertwined and the figures are subject to considerable debate and estimation. When looking at the Second World War as a global conflagration, the total death toll is staggering, often cited as anywhere from 70 million to 85 million people, or even higher. The Second Sino-Japanese War, a brutal and prolonged conflict that began in 1937 and continued until Japan's surrender in 1945, contributed a massive portion of these deaths, with estimates ranging from 15 million to over 30 million. Therefore, it's more accurate to consider them as deeply connected, with the Second Sino-Japanese War being a major precursor and integral component of the larger global conflict.

The Complexities of War and Death Tolls

Before we delve deeper, it's important to acknowledge the inherent difficulties in calculating war death tolls. It’s not as simple as counting bodies on a battlefield. Factors that complicate these numbers include:

  • Civilian Casualties: In modern warfare, civilians often bear the brunt of conflict. Bombings, displacement, starvation, and disease can all lead to massive civilian deaths that are hard to track precisely.
  • Indirect Deaths: Wars disrupt infrastructure, food supplies, and healthcare systems, leading to deaths from famine, disease outbreaks (like cholera or typhus), and lack of medical care. These indirect deaths can sometimes far outnumber direct combat casualties.
  • Record Keeping: In many historical conflicts, especially those in less developed regions or those involving widespread societal breakdown, official records are either incomplete, lost, or never existed in the first place.
  • Overlapping Conflicts: Some wars bleed into others, or multiple conflicts occur simultaneously in the same region, making it difficult to attribute deaths to a single cause.
  • Propaganda and Exaggeration: Historically, belligerent nations have sometimes inflated enemy casualties or downplayed their own to influence public opinion or international perception.

Given these challenges, all figures for war death tolls should be treated as estimates, albeit the best ones we have based on available historical evidence. They represent our best attempt to quantify the immense human cost.

Examining the Top Contenders: Wars with the Highest Death Tolls

While the Second World War, encompassing the Second Sino-Japanese War, stands at the pinnacle, it's worthwhile to examine other conflicts that have resulted in devastating loss of life. Understanding their contexts helps us appreciate the varying dynamics of warfare throughout history.

1. World War II (1939-1945) / Second Sino-Japanese War (1937-1945)

As stated, this is the undisputed leader. The sheer global scope of World War II meant that it engulfed continents and involved the vast majority of the world's nations. The conflict, which began in Europe in 1939 with Germany's invasion of Poland, but whose origins in Asia can be traced back to Japan's aggression in China earlier, saw unprecedented levels of industrial-scale killing. This included:

  • The Holocaust: The systematic, state-sponsored persecution and murder of six million Jews by the Nazi regime and its collaborators. This genocide, while part of the broader war, represents a horrific, targeted extermination.
  • Strategic Bombing: Allied and Axis powers engaged in widespread aerial bombing of cities, causing immense civilian casualties and destruction. Think of the firebombing of Dresden or the atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
  • Eastern Front Brutality: The conflict between Nazi Germany and the Soviet Union was arguably the deadliest theater of the war, characterized by brutal ideological warfare, scorched-earth tactics, and immense loss of life on both sides, including millions of Soviet civilians.
  • Japanese Brutality in Asia: Japan's military actions in China and other parts of Asia were marked by extreme violence, massacres, and atrocities, contributing significantly to the war's overall death toll. The Nanking Massacre is a chilling example.

The Second Sino-Japanese War, in particular, was a grinding, brutal conflict. China, lacking the industrial might of Western powers, suffered immensely. The Japanese occupation was marked by widespread atrocities, forced labor, and the deliberate starvation of civilian populations. The scale of suffering in China during this period is almost incomprehensible. Estimates for the total deaths in WWII hover around 70-85 million, with a significant portion attributed to the Sino-Japanese front.

2. Mongol Conquests (13th Century)

While not a single, continuous "war" in the modern sense, the series of conquests initiated by the Mongol Empire under Genghis Khan and his successors between the early 13th and early 14th centuries resulted in a death toll that is difficult to accurately quantify but is widely believed to be enormous, potentially ranging from 30 million to 60 million people. The Mongols were known for their ruthless efficiency in warfare, often offering surrender terms but brutally annihilating any cities or populations that resisted. Their campaigns swept across Asia and into Eastern Europe, fundamentally reshaping the geopolitical landscape.

  • Devastation of Cities: Cities that resisted were often utterly destroyed, with their populations massacred and their infrastructure razed. Historical accounts speak of mountains of skulls and cities turned into deserts.
  • Disease Transmission: While not always intentional, the vast movement of armies and populations facilitated the spread of diseases, most notably the bubonic plague (the Black Death) which, though its most devastating waves occurred later, had its roots in the interconnectedness fostered by Mongol trade routes.
  • Long-Term Impact: The sheer scale of depopulation in some regions had long-lasting demographic and economic consequences.

Estimates for the Mongol Conquests are highly speculative, but the sheer territory conquered and the reported brutality suggest a death toll second only to World War II. Some historians propose that the population of the world at the time was significantly reduced due to these campaigns and their sequelae.

3. Taiping Rebellion (1850-1864)

This massive civil war in China, fought between the ruling Manchu-led Qing dynasty and the millenarian movement of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom, is often cited as the bloodiest civil war in history. The death toll is estimated to be between 20 million and 30 million, with some estimates reaching as high as 100 million (though this higher figure is generally considered an exaggeration due to its inclusion of general famine and disease over a longer period). The conflict was characterized by extreme brutality, widespread famine, and societal disruption.

  • Ideological Struggle: The Taiping rebellion was not just a political uprising but also a religious one, with its leader Hong Xiuquan believing himself to be the younger brother of Jesus Christ. This ideological fervor fueled a brutal and uncompromising conflict.
  • Famine and Disease: The fighting devastated agricultural lands, leading to widespread starvation. Furthermore, the disruption of public health measures and the concentration of people in besieged cities led to devastating outbreaks of disease.
  • Foreign Intervention: While primarily a civil war, foreign powers eventually intervened, supporting the Qing dynasty, which further prolonged and complicated the conflict.

The Taiping Rebellion’s impact on China was catastrophic, weakening the Qing dynasty and contributing to the conditions that would lead to its eventual overthrow. The human cost was immense, leaving deep scars on Chinese society.

4. World War I (1914-1918)

Often overshadowed by its successor, World War I was a cataclysmic event that redefined warfare. The "Great War" saw the introduction of new technologies of destruction, such as machine guns, artillery, chemical weapons, and tanks, leading to unprecedented casualties on the Western Front's trench warfare. The estimated death toll for World War I is around 15 million to 22 million, with estimates varying widely depending on whether one includes the subsequent Spanish Flu pandemic, which was exacerbated by troop movements and weakened populations.

  • Trench Warfare: The static nature of trench warfare meant that battles often resulted in horrific casualties for minimal territorial gains. The Battle of the Somme, for instance, saw over a million casualties in just a few months.
  • New Technologies: The industrial scale of killing enabled by new weaponry was a horrifying revelation.
  • Collapse of Empires: The war led to the collapse of major empires like the Austro-Hungarian, Ottoman, and Russian empires, causing further instability and conflict in the aftermath.
  • Spanish Flu: While not a direct outcome of warfare, the influenza pandemic of 1918-1920, which killed tens of millions worldwide, was significantly amplified by the conditions of the war, including troop movements and weakened immune systems. If indirect deaths from the pandemic are considered, the toll rises dramatically.

The war’s brutal efficiency in killing, combined with its global reach, cemented its place as one of history's deadliest conflicts.

5. An Lushan Rebellion (755-763 AD)

This devastating rebellion against the Tang Dynasty in China resulted in one of the highest death tolls of any conflict in pre-modern history. While precise figures are impossible to ascertain, estimates for the death toll range from 13 million to 36 million. This vast disparity in numbers reflects the immense difficulty in counting casualties from such a distant and tumultuous period, where record-keeping was inconsistent and the primary causes of death were likely widespread famine and disease stemming from the prolonged warfare.

  • Demographic Collapse: The rebellion led to a catastrophic decline in the Tang Dynasty's population. Some historians believe the population figures from the Tang census dramatically dropped, reflecting the scale of the disaster.
  • Famine and Disease: The widespread destruction of farmland and infrastructure, coupled with the displacement of millions, created conditions ripe for famine and epidemic diseases.
  • Internal Strife: The conflict was a brutal internal struggle that destabilized the empire for years, weakening its central authority and leading to further unrest.

The An Lushan Rebellion is a stark reminder of how internal conflicts, exacerbated by natural disasters and societal breakdown, can be as devastating as international wars. Its impact on the Tang Dynasty was profound, marking the beginning of its decline.

6. Thirty Years' War (1618-1648)

This complex and destructive war, primarily fought in Central Europe, involved most of the major European powers of the time. It began as a religious conflict between Protestants and Catholics but evolved into a broader political struggle for power. The death toll is estimated to be between 4.5 million and 8 million, with some sources suggesting as high as 12 million, considering the widespread famine and disease that accompanied the fighting.

  • Religious and Political Strife: The war was a brutal intersection of religious fervor and dynastic ambition, leading to prolonged and widespread devastation.
  • Mercenary Armies: The conflict relied heavily on mercenary armies, which often lived off the land, pillaging and devastating civilian populations, leading to immense suffering.
  • Famine and Plague: The destruction of crops, disruption of trade, and movement of armies facilitated the spread of famine and plague, contributing significantly to the overall death toll. Some regions lost a substantial percentage of their population.

The Thirty Years' War left much of Germany in ruins and had a lasting impact on the political and religious map of Europe, paving the way for the Peace of Westphalia, which established principles of state sovereignty.

7. Napoleonic Wars (1803-1815)

These wars, fought across Europe and beyond, saw Napoleon Bonaparte's French Empire clash with various coalitions of European powers. While the exact figures are debated, estimates for the total death toll range from 3.5 million to 7 million. This includes military deaths and a significant number of civilian casualties due to the widespread campaigning, occupation, and disruption of life.

  • Widespread Campaigns: Napoleon's ambitious campaigns took his armies across vast swathes of Europe, leading to numerous battles and skirmishes that resulted in high casualties.
  • Harsh Conditions: The logistical challenges of the era meant that disease and starvation were often as deadly as combat for soldiers.
  • Civilian Impact: Occupying armies, requisitioning supplies, and the general disruption of trade and agriculture inflicted hardship on civilian populations.

The Napoleonic Wars reshaped the political order of Europe and had a profound impact on military strategy and nationalism.

8. Russian Civil War (1917-1922)

Following the Bolshevik Revolution, Russia descended into a brutal civil war between the Red Army (Bolsheviks) and the White Army (anti-Bolsheviks), along with various nationalist and anarchist groups. The estimated death toll is between 7 million and 12 million. This staggering figure is largely due to a combination of direct combat, widespread famine (particularly in 1921-1922), and disease, compounded by political terror and executions on both sides.

  • Ideological Brutality: The Red Terror and White Terror were campaigns of repression and execution aimed at eliminating perceived enemies, contributing significantly to the death toll.
  • Famine and Disease: The war devastated Russia's agricultural sector and disrupted its infrastructure, leading to a severe famine that killed millions. Typhus and other diseases were rampant.
  • Fragmented Conflict: The war was not just between two sides but involved numerous factions across a vast territory, making it a chaotic and exceptionally deadly period.

The Russian Civil War solidified Bolshevik rule but at an immense human cost, leaving the nation deeply scarred.

9. Korean War (1950-1953)

This conflict, often referred to as the "Forgotten War" in the United States, pitted North Korea (supported by China and the Soviet Union) against South Korea (supported by the United Nations, primarily the United States). The estimated death toll is between 2.5 million and 4 million. This includes military personnel and a vast number of civilians who were caught in the crossfire, subjected to bombing campaigns, and suffered from the destruction of their communities.

  • Intense Bombing: The war saw extensive aerial bombardment by UN forces, particularly targeting North Korea, causing significant civilian casualties and infrastructure damage.
  • Civilian Displacement and Suffering: The shifting front lines and brutal fighting led to widespread displacement and immense hardship for the Korean civilian population.
  • International Proxy War: As a proxy war between the US and Soviet Union/China, the conflict was intensely fought with significant military investment and casualties.

The Korean War ended in an armistice, not a peace treaty, and the Korean Peninsula remains divided to this day, a constant reminder of this brutal conflict.

10. Vietnam War (1955-1975)

This protracted and controversial war, involving North Vietnam (supported by communist allies) against South Vietnam and its principal ally, the United States, resulted in an estimated death toll between 1.5 million and 3.8 million. The majority of these deaths were Vietnamese civilians, caught between the warring factions and subjected to intense bombing, chemical warfare, and ground combat.

  • Guerrilla Warfare: The nature of the conflict, with extensive guerrilla tactics, made it difficult to distinguish combatants from civilians, leading to tragic collateral damage.
  • Bombing Campaigns: US bombing campaigns, including the extensive use of Agent Orange and napalm, had devastating effects on the environment and human populations.
  • Prolonged Conflict: The sheer length of the war, over two decades, allowed for sustained levels of violence and suffering.

The Vietnam War had a profound and lasting impact on both Vietnam and the United States, forever changing perceptions of warfare and its consequences.

The Unquantifiable Horrors: Beyond the Numbers

While numbers provide a framework for understanding the scale of loss, they can never fully capture the individual tragedies, the shattered families, the lost potential, and the enduring trauma that wars inflict. Each statistic represents a life, a story cut short, a future extinguished. The psychological toll on survivors, the displacement of millions, and the destruction of cultural heritage are all immeasurable costs of conflict.

My own reflections on this topic often lead me to think about the cyclical nature of human conflict. We seem to repeatedly fall into patterns of violence, driven by greed, ideology, nationalism, or a misguided sense of grievance. It’s a humbling and terrifying realization. When I read accounts of the devastation wrought by Genghis Khan's armies or the sheer brutality of the Taiping Rebellion, it’s hard not to see echoes in the conflicts of the 20th and 21st centuries. The tools of destruction may change, becoming more sophisticated and efficient, but the underlying human impulses that drive war often remain distressingly constant.

A Checklist for Understanding War's True Cost

To truly grasp the impact of any war, especially when considering which war has the highest death count, I find it helpful to use a mental checklist:

  1. Direct Combat Deaths: This is the most straightforward category, involving soldiers and combatants killed in action.
  2. Civilian Deaths (Direct): This includes civilians killed by bombings, shelling, massacres, or direct military action.
  3. Indirect Civilian Deaths (Famine/Disease): Deaths resulting from war-induced starvation, lack of clean water, and outbreaks of preventable diseases due to the collapse of health systems.
  4. Deaths from Displacement: Civilians who die while fleeing conflict zones due to harsh conditions, exposure, or lack of resources.
  5. Deaths from Reprisals and Terror: Executions, purges, and acts of terror carried out by warring factions against perceived enemies or populations.
  6. Long-Term Health Consequences: While not always counted in immediate death tolls, injuries, disabilities, and psychological trauma from war can lead to reduced quality of life and premature death for survivors.
  7. Environmental Devastation: The long-term impact of warfare on environments can lead to crop failures, resource scarcity, and subsequent population decline or migration.

Applying this checklist to historical conflicts reveals that the wars with the highest death counts are often those that lasted the longest, involved the broadest geographic scope, and had the most devastating impact on civilian populations, leading to mass starvation and disease.

The Role of Technology and Ideology in War's Escalation

It's impossible to discuss the scale of deaths without considering how technology and dominant ideologies have shaped warfare. The Industrial Revolution, for instance, provided humanity with unprecedented tools for destruction. Machine guns, artillery capable of firing miles, and later, aerial bombardment and nuclear weapons, drastically increased the potential for mass casualties. World War I showed the world what industrialized warfare could do, and World War II took it to an unimaginable extreme, with the Holocaust representing a chilling apex of ideological-driven extermination enabled by efficient, bureaucratic systems.

Ideology, whether religious, political, or nationalistic, has always been a powerful motivator for war. The Taiping Rebellion, fueled by a radical interpretation of Christianity, and the ideological fervor of the Nazi regime, which justified the systematic murder of millions, are prime examples. These ideologies often dehumanize the enemy, making mass violence seem acceptable, or even necessary. It's a pattern that unfortunately repeats itself throughout history, often with devastating consequences for those caught in the crosshairs.

Conclusion: The Grim Reckoning of the Second World War

So, to reiterate the core question: **Which war has the highest death count? The answer is overwhelmingly the Second World War, intricately linked with the Second Sino-Japanese War.** While other conflicts, like the Mongol Conquests or the Taiping Rebellion, inflicted immense death tolls, the sheer scale, global reach, and industrial efficiency of killing in World War II place it in a league of its own. The estimated 70-85 million deaths represent a horrific testament to humanity's capacity for destruction when fueled by aggressive nationalism, totalitarian ideologies, and advanced weaponry.

Understanding these numbers isn't just an academic exercise; it's a vital reminder of the stakes involved in international relations and the imperative of pursuing peace. Each war, regardless of its position on the list, represents a profound failure of diplomacy and a tragic loss for humanity. My hope is that by confronting these grim statistics, we can foster a greater appreciation for the value of peace and a stronger commitment to preventing future conflicts of such devastating magnitude.

Frequently Asked Questions About War Death Counts

How are war death tolls estimated?

Estimating war death tolls is a complex and often imperfect process. Historians and researchers use a variety of methods, depending on the conflict and the available documentation. These methods typically include:

  • Official Records: Military archives, government reports, and census data can provide figures for combatant deaths and sometimes civilian casualties. However, these records are often incomplete, especially for older conflicts or those in less developed regions.
  • Demographic Analysis: Researchers can compare population figures before and after a conflict, taking into account natural population growth and migration, to estimate excess deaths. This method is particularly useful for estimating indirect deaths from famine and disease.
  • Eyewitness Accounts and Testimonies: Diaries, letters, memoirs, and oral histories from survivors and witnesses can offer qualitative insights into the scale of suffering and provide anecdotal evidence of casualties.
  • Archaeological Evidence: Mass graves, battle site analysis, and other archaeological findings can sometimes corroborate or provide estimates of death tolls.
  • Contemporary Media and Reports: Newspapers, historical newsreels, and reports from international observers can offer contemporary accounts of the conflict's impact, though these may be subject to bias or propaganda.

It's important to note that for many historical conflicts, especially those predating the 20th century, precise figures are impossible to obtain. The numbers we commonly see are educated estimates based on the best available evidence, and they are often revised as new research emerges.

Why is it so hard to get exact numbers for war deaths?

The difficulty in obtaining exact numbers for war deaths stems from a confluence of factors that have been present throughout history:

  • Lack of Centralized Record Keeping: In many historical periods and regions, there was no systematic or centralized method for recording births, deaths, or casualties. Even when records existed, they could be destroyed by the conflict itself.
  • Distinction Between Combatant and Civilian Deaths: In modern warfare, the lines between combatants and civilians can become blurred, especially in insurgencies, occupations, or urban warfare. Accurately attributing deaths becomes incredibly challenging.
  • Indirect Deaths: As mentioned earlier, the indirect consequences of war—famine, disease, lack of medical care—can claim far more lives than direct combat. Quantifying these deaths, which might occur over years and affect a dispersed population, is exceptionally difficult.
  • Deliberate Obfuscation or Propaganda: Governments or factions involved in a war might deliberately inflate enemy casualties or downplay their own to serve propaganda purposes or to conceal atrocities.
  • Displacement and Migration: Large-scale movements of populations due to war can lead to deaths far from the primary conflict zone, making attribution and tracking problematic. People might die of exposure, disease, or starvation in refugee camps or during arduous journeys.
  • Incomplete Data Preservation: Wars themselves can destroy records, archives, and data. The chaos of conflict means that documentation is often lost, damaged, or never created in the first place.

Therefore, while historians strive for accuracy, the figures we have are often the most reliable estimates derived from piecing together fragmented evidence, rather than exact counts.

Are there any wars where the civilian death toll exceeded the military death toll?

Yes, absolutely. In many wars, particularly those of a protracted nature, those involving widespread societal disruption, or those where advanced weaponry is used against civilian infrastructure, the civilian death toll has significantly exceeded the military death toll. Some prominent examples include:

  • World War II: The vast majority of the estimated 70-85 million deaths were civilians, due to strategic bombing, genocides (like the Holocaust), massacres, famine, and disease.
  • The Taiping Rebellion: This Chinese civil war is estimated to have caused 20-30 million deaths, with most of them being civilians who perished from famine, disease, and direct violence.
  • The An Lushan Rebellion: Similar to the Taiping Rebellion, this conflict in Tang Dynasty China led to catastrophic population losses, with estimates suggesting the vast majority of the millions who died were civilians suffering from famine and disease.
  • The Korean War: While both sides suffered heavy military losses, civilian casualties were extremely high due to bombing campaigns and the general devastation of the peninsula.
  • The Vietnam War: The immense number of Vietnamese civilian deaths, far outstripping American and even North Vietnamese military casualties, highlights the devastating impact of protracted guerrilla warfare and extensive aerial bombardment on non-combatants.

These examples underscore a grim trend in modern warfare: civilians are increasingly the primary victims, bearing the brunt of conflict's destructive power.

How do historians decide which war is "worse" than another if death tolls are estimates?

While death toll is a crucial metric, historians consider multiple factors when assessing the "worse" nature of a war, as it's a multifaceted concept. Beyond the sheer number of fatalities, other critical aspects include:

  • Proportion of Population Lost: A war that kills 1 million people in a country of 5 million is arguably "worse" in its demographic impact than a war that kills 10 million in a country of 1 billion. The percentage of the total population lost can be a significant indicator of a war's devastating impact on a society.
  • Brutality and Nature of Violence: The methods of killing, the extent of atrocities, systematic torture, ethnic cleansing, and genocidal intent all contribute to a war's horror, independent of the final death count. The Holocaust, for example, is considered one of history's worst events due to its systematic, ideological nature, even if other conflicts had higher total death tolls.
  • Long-Term Societal Impact: Wars can cause lasting damage to a society's infrastructure, economy, political stability, cultural heritage, and psychological well-being for generations. The Thirty Years' War, for instance, devastated large parts of Central Europe for decades.
  • Duration and Scale: A conflict that spans decades or engulfs entire continents naturally has a different kind of impact than a shorter, more localized war, even if the total casualties might be comparable in some cases.
  • Intent and Ideology: Wars driven by genocidal ideologies or aimed at the complete destruction or subjugation of a people are often judged as inherently worse than those fought for more conventional political or territorial aims, even if the latter result in high casualties.

Therefore, "worse" is not solely a mathematical calculation; it involves a qualitative assessment of the human suffering, the nature of the conflict, and its enduring consequences.

What are the ethical implications of studying and reporting on war death counts?

Studying and reporting on war death counts carries significant ethical responsibilities. The primary concerns include:

  • Respect for Victims: It is crucial to approach the subject matter with sensitivity and respect for the victims and their suffering. Numbers should never be presented in a sensationalized or dehumanizing way. Each statistic represents a human life lost.
  • Avoiding Glorification of War: The discussion of death tolls should never serve to glorify war or make it seem like a viable or exciting endeavor. The focus should always be on the horrific cost and the imperative of peace.
  • Accuracy and Transparency: Researchers and journalists have a duty to be as accurate as possible and transparent about the limitations of their data. Acknowledging that figures are estimates and explaining the methodologies used is important for credibility and responsible reporting.
  • Preventing Misuse of Data: Death toll figures can be misused for political purposes, to fuel further conflict, or to justify violence. It's important to be mindful of how such information might be interpreted and used by others.
  • Psychological Impact on Audiences: Constant exposure to grim statistics can be emotionally taxing. Responsible reporting should consider the psychological impact on readers and viewers, balancing the need for information with the need for sensitivity.

Ultimately, the ethical approach to discussing war death counts is one that prioritizes remembrance, learning from the past, and advocating for a more peaceful future, rather than simply cataloging destruction.

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